Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Redhawks @ Gauchos SEA @ UCSB

SEATTLE U

REDHAWKSSEA

21-14  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 4:30 PM ET
Resorts World Event Center
View Odds Details →

UC SANTA BARBARA

GAUCHOSUCSB

18-14  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
📊
GAUCHOS
0%
REDHAWKS --
GAUCHOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
UC SANTA BARBARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (UC Santa Barbara)
RedhawksSEA (-3.5) 0 GauchosUCSB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Redhawks Cover

2.9%

Gauchos Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCSB -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCSB)

SEA By 1-7 points

2.2%

SEA By 8-14 points

0.4%

UCSB By 1-7 points

9.3%

UCSB By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
36
SEATTLE U
55
UC SANTA BARBARA
Simulated Score
70
SEATTLE U
75
UC SANTA BARBARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gauchos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gauchos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gauchos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Gauchos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 SEA @ UCSB 71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +20.9% more
UC Santa Barbara: 36.2 vs Seattle U: 29.9
Steals (L5) +16.6% more
UC Santa Barbara: 9.0 vs Seattle U: 7.7
Free Throw % (L5) +7.6%
UC Santa Barbara: 75.1% vs Seattle U: 67.4%
Blocks (L5) +32.7% more
Seattle U: 4.9 vs UC Santa Barbara: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 36.0 71
UCSB Score 55.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 41.0 38.0 / 27.0
Assists 12.8 / 15.7 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.9 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 51.7 47.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 75.1 / 67.4 88.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 29.9 33.0 / 18.0
Steals 9.0 / 7.7 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 12.3 17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
UCSB
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA Advantage
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
UCSB
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -4.8
UCSB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCSB
SEA
UCSB
SEA
ML
59% 19-13
46% 16-19
72% 23-9
71% 24-10
ATS
62% 20-12
57% 20-15
72% 23-9
71% 24-10
TTL
47% 15-17
49% 17-18
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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