DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
16-16 | Road
63
LSU
TIGERSLSU
15-17 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
100%
TIGERS
0%
BLUE DEMONS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (LSU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LSU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)
DEP By 1-7 points
20.1%
DEP By 8-14 points
9.3%
LSU By 1-7 points
27.4%
LSU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
60
DEPAUL
LSU
64
LSU
Simulated Score
DePaul
65
DEPAUL
LSU
78
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
DEP @ LSU
63 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+59.0% more
LSU: 4.7
vs
DePaul: 3.0
Rebounding (L5)
+20.2% more
LSU: 41.9
vs
DePaul: 34.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
LSU: 49.9%
vs
DePaul: 47.6%
Steals (L5)
+14.1% more
DePaul: 6.9
vs
LSU: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
60.0
63
LSU Score
64.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 36.5
38.0 / 30.0
Assists
16.2 / 18.1
22.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.7 / 3.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 47.6
69.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 77.1
81.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
41.9 / 34.9
37.0 / 19.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.9
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 11.1
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
LSU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
LSU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
LSU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
DEP
LSU
DEP
ML
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
62%
20-12
80%
24-6
ATS
66%
21-11
50%
16-16
62%
20-12
80%
24-6
TTL
72%
23-9
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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