KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
KNIGHTSKCU
0-0 | Road
73
UNC ASHEVILLE
BULLDOGSUNCA
5-7 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UNC ASHEVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UNC Asheville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCA -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCA)
KCU By 1-7 points
10.7%
KCU By 8-14 points
3.3%
UNCA By 1-7 points
23.0%
UNCA By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Kentucky Christian
73
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
UNC Asheville
83
UNC ASHEVILLE
Simulated Score
Kentucky Christian
55
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
UNC Asheville
98
UNC ASHEVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
KCU @ UNCA
73 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+46.7% more
UNC Asheville: 31.9
vs
Kentucky Christian: 21.8
Assists (L5)
+24.5% more
UNC Asheville: 12.5
vs
Kentucky Christian: 10.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
UNC Asheville: 45.2%
vs
Kentucky Christian: 34.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
UNC Asheville: 37.8%
vs
Kentucky Christian: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KCU Score
73.0
73
UNCA Score
83.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 29.3
29.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.5 / 10.1
14.0 / 7.0
Blocks
1.3 / 1.8
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 34.6
56.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 68.6
62.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 21.8
45.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.0 / 7.2
4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 20.0
20.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KCU
--
UNCA
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KCU
--
UNCA
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
KCU
--
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCA
KCU
UNCA
KCU
ML
53%
16-14
100%
4-0
63%
19-11
100%
4-0
ATS
57%
17-13
100%
4-0
63%
19-11
100%
4-0
TTL
60%
18-12
25%
1-3
100%
30-0
100%
4-0
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