Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mountain Lions @ Pioneers UCCS @ DEN

COLORADO-COLORADO SPRINGS

MOUNTAIN LIONSUCCS

0-0  |  Road

93
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 9:00 PM ET
Hamilton Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

DENVER

PIONEERSDEN

6-7  |  Home

129
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN LIONS
100%
📊
PIONEERS
0%
MOUNTAIN LIONS --
PIONEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
196.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Denver)
Mountain LionsUCCS (-3.5) 0 PioneersDEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mountain Lions Cover

3.6%

Pioneers Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

UCCS By 1-7 points

2.7%

UCCS By 8-14 points

0.5%

DEN By 1-7 points

10.7%

DEN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
89
COLORADO-COLORADO SPRINGS
107
DENVER
Simulated Score
62
COLORADO-COLORADO SPRINGS
85
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pioneers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pioneers (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Pioneers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 196.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 UCCS @ DEN 93 - 129
Dec 10, 2024 UCCS @ DEN 87 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +122.0% more
Denver: 2.2 vs Colorado-Colorado Springs: 1.0
Steals (L5) +25.2% more
Denver: 5.0 vs Colorado-Colorado Springs: 4.0
Turnovers (L5) +42.4% more
Colorado-Colorado Springs: 19.0 vs Denver: 11.0
Assists (L5) +18.7% more
Colorado-Colorado Springs: 15.0 vs Denver: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCCS Score 89.0 93
DEN Score 107.0 129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 56.0 65.0 / 50.0
Assists 12.2 / 15.0 19.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.2 / 1.0 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 56.0 69.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 83.0 74.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 34.0 45.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.0 / 4.0 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 19.0 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCCS
--
DEN Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCCS
--
DEN Advantage
17-11-1 (60.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UCCS
--
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
UCCS
DEN
UCCS
ML
56% 18-14
100% 1-0
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
ATS
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
TTL
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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