ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
1-4 | Road
73
CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
2-2 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
BIG RED
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COR -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
ARMY By 1-7 points
2.2%
ARMY By 8-14 points
0.4%
COR By 1-7 points
9.3%
COR By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
60
ARMY
Cornell
79
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Army
72
ARMY
Cornell
78
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Red
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
ARMY @ COR
73 - 86
Dec 8, 2024
COR @ ARMY
103 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+190.0% more
Cornell: 2.5
vs
Army: 0.6
Assists (L5)
+45.8% more
Cornell: 18.6
vs
Army: 12.8
Rebounding (L5)
+14.4% more
Cornell: 37.6
vs
Army: 32.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.3%
Cornell: 48.7%
vs
Army: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
60.0
73
COR Score
79.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 25.1
48.0 / 21.0
Assists
18.6 / 12.8
20.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.5 / 0.6
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 37.4
50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 64.4
57.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 32.8
41.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.3 / 6.4
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.4
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
COR
Advantage
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
ARMY
COR
ARMY
ML
44%
12-15
44%
14-18
63%
17-10
50%
16-16
ATS
59%
16-11
44%
14-18
63%
17-10
50%
16-16
TTL
78%
21-6
81%
26-6
100%
27-0
100%
32-0
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