AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
FIGHTING HAWKS
0%
CHANTICLEERS
--
FIGHTING HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-75.0
NORTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +75.0 points (North Dakota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UND -75.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UND)
CCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
CCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
UND By 1-7 points
0.0%
UND By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Carolina
32
COASTAL CAROLINA
North Dakota
107
NORTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
Coastal Carolina
68
COASTAL CAROLINA
North Dakota
74
NORTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Fighting Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Fighting Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -75.0
D
Sim
Fighting Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
CCU @ UND
75 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+112.8% more
North Dakota: 11.0
vs
Coastal Carolina: 5.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
North Dakota: 45.2%
vs
Coastal Carolina: 41.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+24.3% more
Coastal Carolina: 44.6
vs
North Dakota: 33.7
Blocks (L5)
+21.8% more
Coastal Carolina: 2.6
vs
North Dakota: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCU Score
32.0
75
UND Score
107.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 36.1
16.0 / 40.0
Assists
12.2 / 13.6
5.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.6
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 41.7
27.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
67.7 / 72.9
65.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 44.6
45.0 / 38.0
Steals
11.0 / 5.2
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.2
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
UND
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
UND
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UND
CCU
UND
CCU
ML
44%
15-19
41%
13-19
50%
17-17
55%
17-14
ATS
50%
17-17
38%
12-20
50%
17-17
55%
17-14
TTL
65%
22-12
75%
24-8
100%
34-0
100%
31-0