Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Panthers UIW @ HPU

INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

3-3  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 7:00 PM ET
Ocean Center
View Odds Details →

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

6-1  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
CARDINALS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (High Point)
CardinalsUIW (-3.5) 0 PanthersHPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

UIW By 1-7 points

18.6%

UIW By 8-14 points

8.0%

HPU By 1-7 points

27.2%

HPU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
81
INCARNATE WORD
86
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
70
INCARNATE WORD
82
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 UIW @ HPU 80 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +133.5% more
High Point: 12.4 vs Incarnate Word: 5.3
Assists (L5) +42.9% more
High Point: 18.4 vs Incarnate Word: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
High Point: 76.5% vs Incarnate Word: 70.4%
Rebounding (L5) +17.4% more
Incarnate Word: 38.5 vs High Point: 31.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIW Score 81.0 80
HPU Score 86.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 39.1 28.0 / 38.0
Assists 18.4 / 12.9 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.5 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.5 / 48.3 54.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 76.5 / 70.4 84.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 38.5 38.0 / 27.0
Steals 12.4 / 5.3 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 9.6 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
UIW
HPU
UIW
ML
80% 28-7
47% 14-16
80% 28-7
76% 22-7
ATS
71% 25-10
53% 16-14
80% 28-7
77% 23-7
TTL
66% 23-12
60% 18-12
100% 35-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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