RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
4-2 | Road
60
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
6-0 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
VOLUNTEERS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
RUTG By 1-7 points
1.4%
RUTG By 8-14 points
0.2%
TENN By 1-7 points
6.8%
TENN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
35
RUTGERS
Tennessee
56
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Rutgers
65
RUTGERS
Tennessee
72
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
RUTG @ TENN
60 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+79.4% more
Tennessee: 8.8
vs
Rutgers: 4.9
Assists (L5)
+73.1% more
Tennessee: 21.1
vs
Rutgers: 12.2
Turnovers (L5)
+32.2% more
Tennessee: 13.9
vs
Rutgers: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+9.9% more
Tennessee: 43.5
vs
Rutgers: 39.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
35.0
60
TENN Score
56.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 31.2
50.0 / 32.0
Assists
21.1 / 12.2
18.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.2
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 42.9
51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 71.4
71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
43.5 / 39.5
43.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.8 / 4.9
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 10.5
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
RUTG
TENN
RUTG
ML
46%
17-20
53%
18-16
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
ATS
54%
20-17
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
TTL
76%
28-9
53%
18-16
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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