Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Flash @ Bruins SFPA @ BEL

SAINT FRANCIS

RED FLASHSFPA

0-5  |  Road

57
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 1:30 PM ET
Alico Arena
View Odds Details →

BELMONT

BRUINSBEL

6-0  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
RED FLASH --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Belmont)
Red FlashSFPA (-3.5) 0 BruinsBEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Flash Cover

21.2%

Bruins Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BEL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)

SFPA By 1-7 points

13.7%

SFPA By 8-14 points

4.8%

BEL By 1-7 points

25.3%

BEL By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
SAINT FRANCIS
81
BELMONT
Simulated Score
68
SAINT FRANCIS
82
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 SFPA @ BEL 57 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +51.1% more
Belmont: 17.8 vs Saint Francis: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +40.0% more
Belmont: 46.0 vs Saint Francis: 32.8
Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Belmont: 46.7% vs Saint Francis: 40.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.3%
Saint Francis: 71.4% vs Belmont: 65.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score 73.0 57
BEL Score 81.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 31.4 50.0 / 20.0
Assists 17.8 / 11.8 26.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.9 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 40.3 59.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 65.1 / 71.4 79.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 46.0 / 32.8 36.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.0 / 8.6 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 14.7 13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
BEL Advantage
26-6-0 (81.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -1.7
BEL Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +5.8
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
SFPA
BEL
SFPA
ML
47% 15-17
68% 21-10
62% 20-12
67% 20-10
ATS
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
62% 20-12
67% 20-10
TTL
44% 14-18
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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