Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Wolverines AUB @ MICH

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

5-2  |  Road

72
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 8:30 PM ET
Michelob ULTRA Arena
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

6-0  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
TIGERS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Michigan)
TigersAUB (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

2.9%

Wolverines Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

AUB By 1-7 points

2.2%

AUB By 8-14 points

0.4%

MICH By 1-7 points

9.3%

MICH By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
36
AUBURN
55
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
72
AUBURN
78
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 AUB @ MICH 72 - 102
Mar 28, 2025 MICH @ AUB 65 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +74.2% more
Michigan: 14.4 vs Auburn: 8.2
Blocks (L5) +30.8% more
Michigan: 5.1 vs Auburn: 3.9
Rebounding (L5) +25.0% more
Michigan: 46.4 vs Auburn: 37.1
Steals (L5) +32.9% more
Auburn: 10.9 vs Michigan: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AUB Score 36.0 72
MICH Score 55.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.0 / 29.9 40.0 / 42.0
Assists 15.7 / 16.9 19.0 / 3.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.9 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 49.6 51.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 73.5 / 75.1 82.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 46.4 / 37.1 51.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.3 / 10.9 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 8.2 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUB
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
MICH Advantage
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
AUB
MICH
AUB
ML
78% 31-9
58% 22-16
63% 24-14
75% 24-8
ATS
78% 31-9
74% 28-10
63% 24-14
75% 24-8
TTL
57% 23-17
53% 20-18
100% 38-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 3 hours ago
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
yahoo 2 days, 23 hours ago
Michigan State's Exhibition Win Reveals Key Player Development a…
yahoo 5 days, 22 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 9 hours ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago