Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gauchos @ Mountain Hawks UCSB @ LEH

UC SANTA BARBARA

GAUCHOSUCSB

5-2  |  Road

72
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 4:30 PM ET
Resorts World Event Center
View Odds Details →

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

2-6  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
GAUCHOS
100%
📊
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
GAUCHOS --
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Lehigh)
GauchosUCSB (-3.5) 0 Mountain HawksLEH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gauchos Cover

0.0%

Mountain Hawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)

UCSB By 1-7 points

0.0%

UCSB By 8-14 points

0.0%

LEH By 1-7 points

0.0%

LEH By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
UC SANTA BARBARA
107
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
75
UC SANTA BARBARA
68
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mountain Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gauchos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mountain Hawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Gauchos (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 UCSB @ LEH 72 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.3% more
UC Santa Barbara: 3.5 vs Lehigh: 2.2
Assists (L5) +29.2% more
UC Santa Barbara: 15.7 vs Lehigh: 11.1
Steals (L5) +18.8% more
UC Santa Barbara: 8.5 vs Lehigh: 6.9
Rebounding (L5) +14.7% more
UC Santa Barbara: 35.8 vs Lehigh: 30.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCSB Score 57.0 72
LEH Score 107.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.8 / 38.4 41.0 / 17.0
Assists 11.1 / 15.7 15.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.5 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 47.8 41.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 62.1 / 68.6 91.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 35.8 28.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.9 / 8.5 3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 12.6 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCSB Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
LEH
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCSB
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
LEH Advantage
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UCSB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.1
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
UCSB
LEH
UCSB
ML
56% 19-15
59% 19-13
68% 23-11
72% 23-9
ATS
56% 19-15
62% 20-12
68% 23-11
72% 23-9
TTL
76% 26-8
47% 15-17
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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