LSU
TIGERSLSU
6-0 | Road
71
DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
4-3 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
TIGERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Drake)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)
LSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
LSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
DRKE By 1-7 points
21.6%
DRKE By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
LSU
38
LSU
Drake
49
DRAKE
Simulated Score
LSU
70
LSU
Drake
74
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
LSU @ DRKE
71 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+9.7% more
Drake: 4.4
vs
LSU: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
LSU: 11.6
vs
Drake: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
LSU: 76.2%
vs
Drake: 68.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
LSU: 51.8%
vs
Drake: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LSU Score
38.0
71
DRKE Score
49.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 35.0
27.0 / 26.0
Assists
16.5 / 16.3
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.0
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 51.8
36.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 76.2
77.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
40.1 / 42.4
34.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.4
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 11.6
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU
--
DRKE
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
--
DRKE
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
--
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
LSU
DRKE
LSU
ML
59%
20-14
62%
20-12
38%
13-21
62%
20-12
ATS
85%
29-5
66%
21-11
38%
13-21
62%
20-12
TTL
56%
19-15
72%
23-9
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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