PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
5-5 | Road
69
THE CITADEL
BULLDOGSCIT
2-6 | Home
41
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BLUE HOSE
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
THE CITADEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (The Citadel)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIT)
PRES By 1-7 points
20.1%
PRES By 8-14 points
9.3%
CIT By 1-7 points
27.4%
CIT By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Presbyterian
68
PRESBYTERIAN
The Citadel
72
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
Presbyterian
70
PRESBYTERIAN
The Citadel
73
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
PRES @ CIT
69 - 41
Nov 13, 2023
CIT @ PRES
64 - 71
Nov 10, 2022
PRES @ CIT
58 - 70
Nov 15, 2021
CIT @ PRES
70 - 74
Dec 22, 2020
PRES @ CIT
82 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.6%
The Citadel: 75.5%
vs
Presbyterian: 66.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
The Citadel: 31.1%
vs
Presbyterian: 26.9%
Blocks (L5)
+46.0% more
Presbyterian: 3.2
vs
The Citadel: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+40.7% more
Presbyterian: 7.8
vs
The Citadel: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRES Score
68.0
69
CIT Score
72.0
41
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 26.9
32.0 / 45.0
Assists
11.2 / 15.3
7.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.7 / 3.2
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 47.0
30.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 66.9
46.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 32.9
24.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.8
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 13.0
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
CIT
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
CIT
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
PRES
CIT
PRES
ML
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
62%
20-12
80%
24-6
ATS
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
80%
24-6
TTL
53%
17-15
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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