AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
EXPLORERS
0%
DRAGONS
--
EXPLORERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (La Salle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAS -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)
DREX By 1-7 points
16.9%
DREX By 8-14 points
6.8%
LAS By 1-7 points
26.8%
LAS By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Drexel
74
DREXEL
La Salle
80
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
Drexel
67
DREXEL
La Salle
71
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Explorers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Explorers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Explorers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Explorers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
DREX @ LAS
64 - 69
Nov 16, 2024
LAS @ DREX
71 - 68
Nov 7, 2023
DREX @ LAS
61 - 67
Dec 10, 2022
DREX @ LAS
65 - 58
Dec 12, 2020
LAS @ DREX
58 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.8% more
La Salle: 15.6
vs
Drexel: 12.5
Turnovers (L5)
+24.1% more
La Salle: 14.6
vs
Drexel: 11.8
Steals (L5)
+21.1% more
La Salle: 6.3
vs
Drexel: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.6%
La Salle: 72.0%
vs
Drexel: 65.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DREX Score
74.0
64
LAS Score
80.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.1 / 33.8
33.0 / 22.0
Assists
15.6 / 12.5
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.1 / 5.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 44.9
47.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 65.4
52.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
39.3 / 38.8
37.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.2
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 11.8
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAS
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAS
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
DREX
LAS
DREX
ML
69%
22-10
58%
19-14
69%
22-10
81%
26-6
ATS
78%
25-7
70%
23-10
69%
22-10
81%
26-6
TTL
66%
21-11
48%
16-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0