SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
5-3 | Road
70
TEMPLE
OWLSTEM
4-5 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
OWLS
0%
HAWKS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEM -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
JOES By 1-7 points
1.4%
JOES By 8-14 points
0.2%
TEM By 1-7 points
6.8%
TEM By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Joseph's
64
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Temple
85
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
Saint Joseph's
68
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Temple
72
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
JOES @ TEM
70 - 69
Dec 2, 2023
TEM @ JOES
65 - 74
Dec 6, 2022
JOES @ TEM
60 - 70
Dec 11, 2021
TEM @ JOES
49 - 68
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.0%
Temple: 36.2%
vs
Saint Joseph's: 24.2%
Blocks (L5)
+48.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 5.8
vs
Temple: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+47.9% more
Saint Joseph's: 17.3
vs
Temple: 9.0
Steals (L5)
+30.3% more
Saint Joseph's: 5.6
vs
Temple: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOES Score
64.0
70
TEM Score
85.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 24.2
27.0 / 31.0
Assists
9.0 / 17.3
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.0 / 5.8
9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 44.8
37.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 78.4
75.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
29.5 / 41.8
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
3.9 / 5.6
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 13.9
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
JOES
TEM
JOES
ML
62%
20-12
51%
18-17
67%
20-10
61%
20-13
ATS
56%
18-14
60%
21-14
67%
20-10
61%
20-13
TTL
69%
22-10
54%
19-16
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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