Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Red Raiders LSU @ TTU

LSU

TIGERSLSU

8-1  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 3:00 PM ET
Dickies Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

7-2  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
RED RAIDERS
0%
TIGERS --
RED RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Texas Tech)
TigersLSU (-3.5) 0 Red RaidersTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

2.9%

Red Raiders Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TTU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

LSU By 1-7 points

2.2%

LSU By 8-14 points

0.4%

TTU By 1-7 points

9.3%

TTU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
60
LSU
79
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
70
LSU
75
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 LSU @ TTU 58 - 82
Jan 28, 2023 TTU @ LSU 76 - 68
Jan 30, 2021 TTU @ LSU 76 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +16.0% more
Texas Tech: 6.4 vs LSU: 5.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Texas Tech: 32.3% vs LSU: 28.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +13.8%
LSU: 78.4% vs Texas Tech: 64.6%
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
LSU: 42.2 vs Texas Tech: 37.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LSU Score 60.0 58
TTU Score 79.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 28.0 48.0 / 17.0
Assists 14.5 / 15.4 13.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 50.8 47.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 64.6 / 78.4 72.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 42.2 48.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.5 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.2 14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU
--
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
--
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
--
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
LSU
TTU
LSU
ML
62% 21-13
62% 20-12
71% 22-9
62% 20-12
ATS
65% 22-12
66% 21-11
71% 22-9
62% 20-12
TTL
59% 20-14
72% 23-9
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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