Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Warriors @ Bulldogs SWES @ CIT

SOUTHERN WESLEYAN

WARRIORSSWES

0-0  |  Road

73
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 7:00 PM ET
McAlister Field House
View Odds Details →

THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

3-7  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
50%
📊
BULLDOGS
50%
WARRIORS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SOUTHERN WESLEYAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Southern Wesleyan)
WarriorsSWES (-3.5) 0 BulldogsCIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warriors Cover

57.9%

Bulldogs Cover

42.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SWES -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SWES)

SWES By 1-7 points

26.8%

SWES By 8-14 points

18.6%

CIT By 1-7 points

23.0%

CIT By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
82
SOUTHERN WESLEYAN
80
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
58
SOUTHERN WESLEYAN
85
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 162
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim o0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 SWES @ CIT 73 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +42.3% more
Southern Wesleyan: 6.6 vs The Citadel: 3.8
Turnovers (L5) +24.1% more
Southern Wesleyan: 15.0 vs The Citadel: 11.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
The Citadel: 62.8% vs Southern Wesleyan: 59.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
The Citadel: 42.1% vs Southern Wesleyan: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SWES Score 82.0 73
CIT Score 80.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.3 / 28.9 39.0 / 39.0
Assists 9.9 / 9.3 21.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.3 / 1.3 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 40.0 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 62.8 / 59.1 83.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 29.7 44.0 / 44.0
Steals 3.8 / 6.6 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 15.0 5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SWES
--
CIT Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SWES
--
CIT Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SWES
--
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
SWES
CIT
SWES
ML
59% 19-13
-- 0-0
62% 20-12
-- 0-0
ATS
62% 20-12
-- 0-0
64% 21-12
100% 2-0
TTL
53% 17-15
-- 0-0
100% 33-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 16 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days, 3 hours ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 16 hours ago
David Stearns Opens Up on Mets' 2026 Failures, Offseason Plans a…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Warriors Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Poised for Significant Role in 2…
al 1 week, 3 days ago