TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERSTTU
7-3 | Road
86
ARKANSAS
RAZORBACKSARK
8-2 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
100%
RAZORBACKS
0%
RED RAIDERS
--
RAZORBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Arkansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARK -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARK)
TTU By 1-7 points
0.0%
TTU By 8-14 points
0.0%
ARK By 1-7 points
0.1%
ARK By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas Tech
36
TEXAS TECH
Arkansas
76
ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
Texas Tech
72
TEXAS TECH
Arkansas
75
ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Razorbacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Razorbacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Razorbacks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Razorbacks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
TTU @ ARK
86 - 93
Mar 27, 2025
ARK @ TTU
83 - 85
Mar 21, 2021
TTU @ ARK
66 - 68
Jan 26, 2019
ARK @ TTU
64 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.6% more
Arkansas: 8.6
vs
Texas Tech: 6.3
Assists (L5)
+20.4% more
Arkansas: 16.8
vs
Texas Tech: 14.0
Blocks (L5)
+8.9% more
Arkansas: 4.5
vs
Texas Tech: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Arkansas: 74.9%
vs
Texas Tech: 67.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TTU Score
36.0
86
ARK Score
76.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 37.5
53.0 / 42.0
Assists
16.8 / 14.0
18.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.2
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 45.1
52.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 67.1
65.0 / 30.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 40.7
40.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.6 / 6.3
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 11.7
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
ARK
Advantage
28-9-0
(75.7%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
ARK
Advantage
23-14-0
(62.2%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
ARK
22-15-0
O: 59.5% / U: 40.5%
Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARK
TTU
ARK
TTU
ML
68%
25-12
62%
21-13
81%
25-6
71%
22-9
ATS
70%
26-11
65%
22-12
81%
25-6
71%
22-9
TTL
57%
21-16
59%
20-14
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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