UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
7-3 | Road
72
GONZAGA
BULLDOGSGONZ
10-1 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BRUINS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Gonzaga)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GONZ -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)
UCLA By 1-7 points
8.0%
UCLA By 8-14 points
2.2%
GONZ By 1-7 points
20.1%
GONZ By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
UCLA
55
UCLA
Gonzaga
67
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
UCLA
74
UCLA
Gonzaga
78
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
UCLA @ GONZ
72 - 82
Dec 28, 2024
GONZ @ UCLA
62 - 65
Nov 22, 2023
GONZ @ UCLA
69 - 65
Mar 23, 2023
GONZ @ UCLA
79 - 76
Nov 23, 2021
GONZ @ UCLA
83 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+58.6% more
Gonzaga: 22.8
vs
UCLA: 14.3
Steals (L5)
+37.9% more
Gonzaga: 9.4
vs
UCLA: 6.8
Rebounding (L5)
+32.4% more
Gonzaga: 43.9
vs
UCLA: 33.1
Turnovers (L5)
+10.3% more
Gonzaga: 10.9
vs
UCLA: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score
55.0
72
GONZ Score
67.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.1 / 41.7
38.0 / 47.0
Assists
22.8 / 14.3
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.6
1.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
54.2 / 47.9
50.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 74.1
63.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 33.1
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
9.4 / 6.8
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 9.8
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
GONZ
Advantage
31-4-0
(88.6%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
GONZ
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
UCLA
GONZ
UCLA
ML
71%
25-10
67%
24-12
69%
20-9
76%
25-8
ATS
69%
24-11
61%
22-14
69%
20-9
76%
25-8
TTL
57%
20-15
61%
22-14
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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