Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mocs @ Knights UTC @ BELL

CHATTANOOGA

MOCSUTC

5-6  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Knights Hall
View Odds Details →

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

4-6  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
MOCS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
BELLARMINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Bellarmine)
MocsUTC (-3.5) 0 KnightsBELL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mocs Cover

0.0%

Knights Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BELL -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BELL)

UTC By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTC By 8-14 points

0.0%

BELL By 1-7 points

0.2%

BELL By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
40
CHATTANOOGA
76
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
74
CHATTANOOGA
78
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 UTC @ BELL 64 - 79
Nov 14, 2023 BELL @ UTC 64 - 72
Dec 9, 2020 UTC @ BELL 77 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +50.7% more
Bellarmine: 13.1 vs Chattanooga: 8.7
Blocks (L5) +21.6% more
Bellarmine: 1.9 vs Chattanooga: 1.5
Free Throw % (L5) +10.1%
Bellarmine: 86.8% vs Chattanooga: 76.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Bellarmine: 52.9% vs Chattanooga: 46.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTC Score 40.0 64
BELL Score 76.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 37.3 38.0 / 22.0
Assists 16.5 / 17.8 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.9 / 1.5 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 52.9 / 46.7 47.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 86.8 / 76.7 86.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 27.7 / 33.9 41.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.9 / 7.7 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 8.7 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
BELL
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
12-17-0 (41.4%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
BELL Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.8
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
UTC
BELL
UTC
ML
72% 23-9
48% 15-16
94% 29-2
53% 16-14
ATS
72% 23-9
52% 16-15
94% 29-2
55% 17-14
TTL
50% 16-16
77% 24-7
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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