EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
3-8 | Road
62
JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
4-5 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
COLONELS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JXST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
EKU By 1-7 points
24.3%
EKU By 8-14 points
13.7%
JXST By 1-7 points
26.2%
JXST By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Kentucky
39
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Jacksonville State
40
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
Eastern Kentucky
71
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Jacksonville State
76
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
EKU @ JXST
62 - 59
Dec 21, 2024
JXST @ EKU
91 - 80
Feb 2, 2023
JXST @ EKU
67 - 69
Feb 23, 2022
EKU @ JXST
68 - 81
Jan 15, 2022
JXST @ EKU
76 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+39.0% more
Eastern Kentucky: 8.8
vs
Jacksonville State: 5.4
Blocks (L5)
+34.7% more
Eastern Kentucky: 4.2
vs
Jacksonville State: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+25.0%
Eastern Kentucky: 77.7%
vs
Jacksonville State: 52.7%
Assists (L5)
+12.5% more
Eastern Kentucky: 14.5
vs
Jacksonville State: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EKU Score
39.0
62
JXST Score
40.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 31.2
22.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.7 / 14.5
9.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.7 / 4.2
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 40.2
35.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
52.7 / 77.7
76.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 40.7
31.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.4 / 8.8
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.6
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
JXST
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
JXST
Advantage
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
EKU
JXST
EKU
ML
50%
16-16
44%
14-18
55%
17-14
69%
22-10
ATS
62%
20-12
56%
18-14
55%
17-14
69%
22-10
TTL
62%
20-12
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
