UC SANTA BARBARA
GAUCHOSUCSB
8-3 | Road
64
GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
5-7 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
GAUCHOS
100%
PHOENIX
0%
GAUCHOS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
UCSB By 1-7 points
24.3%
UCSB By 8-14 points
13.7%
GB By 1-7 points
26.2%
GB By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
UC Santa Barbara
39
UC SANTA BARBARA
Green Bay
40
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
UC Santa Barbara
68
UC SANTA BARBARA
Green Bay
72
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Phoenix (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
UCSB @ GB
64 - 67
Dec 14, 2024
GB @ UCSB
66 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Green Bay: 47.4%
vs
UC Santa Barbara: 44.3%
Steals (L5)
+34.0% more
UC Santa Barbara: 8.8
vs
Green Bay: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+26.3% more
UC Santa Barbara: 2.9
vs
Green Bay: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+20.8% more
UC Santa Barbara: 13.4
vs
Green Bay: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCSB Score
39.0
64
GB Score
40.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 33.6
52.0 / 37.0
Assists
10.6 / 13.4
18.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.9
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 44.3
51.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 82.2
52.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 36.3
20.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.8 / 8.8
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 14.8
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCSB
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: -1.0
GB
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCSB
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: -1.0
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UCSB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.1
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
UCSB
GB
UCSB
ML
48%
16-17
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
ATS
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
TTL
58%
19-14
47%
15-17
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
