Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Blazers CLE @ UAB

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

4-8  |  Road

77
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 7:30 PM ET
Bartow Arena
View Odds Details →

UAB

BLAZERSUAB

7-4  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
BLAZERS
0%
VIKINGS --
BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
88.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (UAB)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 BlazersUAB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

5.5%

Blazers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAB -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)

CLE By 1-7 points

4.0%

CLE By 8-14 points

0.8%

UAB By 1-7 points

13.7%

UAB By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
36
CLEVELAND STATE
52
UAB
Simulated Score
71
CLEVELAND STATE
78
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blazers (+18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Blazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 88.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 CLE @ UAB 77 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +15.8% more
UAB: 6.3 vs Cleveland State: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
UAB: 72.3% vs Cleveland State: 70.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
UAB: 46.7% vs Cleveland State: 44.8%
Turnovers (L5) +30.7% more
Cleveland State: 14.4 vs UAB: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 36.0 77
UAB Score 52.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.0 / 38.4 38.0 / 46.0
Assists 14.1 / 17.5 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.0 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 44.8 56.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 72.3 / 70.0 66.0 / 93.0
Rebounding 40.1 / 41.2 40.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.3 / 5.4 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 14.4 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
UAB Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
UAB Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
CLE
UAB
CLE
ML
59% 19-13
52% 17-16
41% 13-19
64% 21-12
ATS
56% 18-14
64% 21-12
41% 13-19
64% 21-12
TTL
69% 22-10
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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