Home / NFL Projections NFL / Vikings @ Giants MIN @ NYG

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

6-8  |  Road

16
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-12  |  Home

13
Key Game
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
@
Deonte Banks
KEY GAME

Deonte Banks

#2 | Cornerback
Player
Will Reichard None-None
Deonte Banks None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
📊
GIANTS
100%
VIKINGS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
VikingsMIN (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

47.2%

Giants Cover

52.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around NYG +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

MIN By 1-6 points

16.7%

MIN By 7-13 points

16.1%

NYG By 1-6 points

16.1%

NYG By 7-13 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
28
MINNESOTA
27
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
20
MINNESOTA
24
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 55.0
D
Sim u43.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 MIN @ NYG 16 - 13
Sep 8, 2024 MIN @ NYG 28 - 6
Jan 15, 2023 NYG @ MIN 31 - 24
Dec 24, 2022 NYG @ MIN 24 - 27
Oct 6, 2019 MIN @ NYG 28 - 10
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +49.8% more
Minnesota: 2.1 vs New York: 1.1
Net Passing Yards (L5) +67.0% more
New York: 223.6 vs Minnesota: 133.9
Total Yards (L5) +39.9% more
New York: 347.8 vs Minnesota: 248.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +21.6% more
New York: 5.4 vs Minnesota: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 28.0 16
NYG Score 27.0 13
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
MIN
NYG
MIN
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
TTL
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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