Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Green Wave LT @ TULN

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

6-3  |  Road

53
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 7:30 PM ET
Devlin Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

7-4  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
GREEN WAVE
0%
BULLDOGS --
GREEN WAVE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Tulane)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 Green WaveTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

46.0%

Green Wave Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TULN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

LT By 1-7 points

24.3%

LT By 8-14 points

13.7%

TULN By 1-7 points

26.2%

TULN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
LOUISIANA TECH
39
TULANE
Simulated Score
72
LOUISIANA TECH
75
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Green Wave Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Green Wave Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Green Wave (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Green Wave (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 LT @ TULN 53 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.4% more
Tulane: 9.3 vs Louisiana Tech: 6.9
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
Tulane: 72.1% vs Louisiana Tech: 69.7%
Rebounding (L5) +15.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 39.5 vs Tulane: 33.4
Field Goal % (L5) +8.4%
Louisiana Tech: 50.5% vs Tulane: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 38.0 53
TULN Score 39.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.0 / 32.4 13.0 / 17.0
Assists 14.5 / 14.2 11.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.3 / 4.3 8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 50.5 37.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 72.1 / 69.7 77.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 39.5 32.0 / 43.0
Steals 9.3 / 6.9 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 13.2 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
TULN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
LT
TULN
LT
ML
70% 23-10
58% 19-14
47% 15-17
72% 23-9
ATS
62% 20-12-1
61% 20-13
47% 15-17
72% 23-9
TTL
55% 18-15
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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