SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
8-2 | Road
79
UC DAVIS
AGGIESUCD
5-4 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
AGGIES
100%
REDHAWKS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
90.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-7 points
10.7%
SEA By 8-14 points
21.6%
UCD By 1-7 points
2.7%
UCD By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
54
SEATTLE U
UC Davis
36
UC DAVIS
Simulated Score
Seattle U
68
SEATTLE U
UC Davis
72
UC DAVIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 90.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
SEA @ UCD
79 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.8% more
Seattle U: 4.6
vs
UC Davis: 2.1
Rebounding (L5)
+30.1% more
Seattle U: 40.7
vs
UC Davis: 28.4
Assists (L5)
+28.0% more
Seattle U: 17.9
vs
UC Davis: 12.9
Steals (L5)
+27.2% more
Seattle U: 9.7
vs
UC Davis: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
54.0
79
UCD Score
36.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 38.5
41.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.9 / 17.9
20.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.1 / 4.6
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 53.5
47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 74.4
68.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 40.7
29.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.1 / 9.7
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 11.3
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
UCD
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
UCD
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
UCD
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCD
SEA
UCD
SEA
ML
58%
19-14
46%
16-19
64%
21-12
71%
24-10
ATS
61%
20-13
57%
20-15
64%
21-12
71%
24-10
TTL
61%
20-13
49%
17-18
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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