PORTLAND
PILOTSPORT
7-4 | Road
69
OREGON
DUCKSORE
5-5 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
PILOTS
100%
DUCKS
0%
PILOTS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
OREGON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Oregon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORE -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORE)
PORT By 1-7 points
0.0%
PORT By 8-14 points
0.0%
ORE By 1-7 points
0.0%
ORE By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
35
PORTLAND
Oregon
107
OREGON
Simulated Score
Portland
68
PORTLAND
Oregon
82
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (-19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
PORT @ ORE
69 - 94
Nov 12, 2024
PORT @ ORE
70 - 80
Dec 17, 2022
PORT @ ORE
56 - 78
Dec 15, 2021
PORT @ ORE
71 - 96
Dec 19, 2020
PORT @ ORE
41 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+12.1% more
Oregon: 3.9
vs
Portland: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+34.2% more
Portland: 23.5
vs
Oregon: 15.5
Steals (L5)
+20.3% more
Portland: 8.0
vs
Oregon: 6.3
Turnovers (L5)
+17.4% more
Portland: 14.6
vs
Oregon: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PORT Score
35.0
69
ORE Score
107.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 35.8
39.0 / 26.0
Assists
15.5 / 23.5
23.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 53.0
48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 73.5
83.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 35.2
37.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.0
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 14.6
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PORT
Advantage
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.2
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PORT
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.2
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.0
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
PORT
ORE
PORT
ML
56%
18-14
48%
16-17
62%
18-11
82%
27-6
ATS
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
62%
18-11
82%
28-6
TTL
59%
19-13
55%
18-15
100%
29-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …