SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
KNIGHTSSOUTH
0-0 | Road
53
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
VAQUEROSRGV
2-2 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
VAQUEROS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
VAQUEROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-67.0
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +67.0 points (UT Rio Grande Valley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RGV -67.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RGV)
SOUTH By 1-7 points
0.0%
SOUTH By 8-14 points
0.0%
RGV By 1-7 points
0.0%
RGV By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Southwestern Adventist
46
SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
UT Rio Grande Valley
113
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Simulated Score
Southwestern Adventist
42
SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
UT Rio Grande Valley
108
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vaqueros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vaqueros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vaqueros (+157.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -67.0
D
Sim
Vaqueros (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -66.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
SOUTH @ RGV
53 - 110
Nov 6, 2023
SOUTH @ RGV
59 - 110
Nov 12, 2022
SOUTH @ RGV
33 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+75.1% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 15.5
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 8.9
Blocks (L5)
+56.9% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 2.6
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 1.7
Rebounding (L5)
+48.3% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 31.6
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 21.3
Steals (L5)
+17.7% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 7.2
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SOUTH Score
46.0
53
RGV Score
113.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 31.2
47.0 / 39.0
Assists
15.5 / 8.9
28.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.6 / 1.7
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 37.1
54.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
64.7 / 80.2
83.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 21.3
47.0 / 23.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.2
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 20.7
7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOUTH
--
RGV
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOUTH
--
RGV
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SOUTH
--
RGV
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RGV
SOUTH
RGV
SOUTH
ML
53%
16-14
100%
3-0
54%
15-13
100%
3-0
ATS
53%
16-14
100%
3-0
54%
15-13
100%
3-0
TTL
60%
18-12
67%
2-1
100%
28-0
100%
3-0
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