REGENT
ROYALSRGNT
0-0 | Road
57
WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
4-2 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
TRIBE
0%
ROYALS
--
TRIBE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (William & Mary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around W&M -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)
RGNT By 1-7 points
3.3%
RGNT By 8-14 points
0.6%
W&M By 1-7 points
12.2%
W&M By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Regent
79
REGENT
William & Mary
96
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
Regent
42
REGENT
William & Mary
98
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tribe
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tribe
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tribe (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Tribe (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -56.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
RGNT @ W&M
57 - 104
Nov 6, 2023
RGNT @ W&M
29 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+175.6% more
William & Mary: 4.3
vs
Regent: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+61.1% more
William & Mary: 9.5
vs
Regent: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+59.3% more
William & Mary: 17.5
vs
Regent: 11.0
Rebounding (L5)
+41.7% more
William & Mary: 36.6
vs
Regent: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RGNT Score
79.0
57
W&M Score
96.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 26.5
34.0 / 43.0
Assists
17.5 / 11.0
25.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.3 / 1.6
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 34.4
53.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 64.4
69.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 25.9
48.0 / 31.0
Steals
9.5 / 5.9
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
16.8 / 21.6
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RGNT
--
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RGNT
--
W&M
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
RGNT
--
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
RGNT
W&M
RGNT
ML
55%
17-14
100%
2-0
61%
19-12
100%
2-0
ATS
63%
19-11-1
100%
2-0
61%
19-12
100%
2-0
TTL
61%
19-12
100%
2-0
100%
31-0
100%
2-0
