Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / 49ers @ Mountaineers CLT @ APP

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

2-3  |  Road

63
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 6:30 PM ET
Holmes Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

APP STATE

MOUNTAINEERSAPP

4-2  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
49ERS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
APP STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (App State)
49ersCLT (-3.5) 0 MountaineersAPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

0.1%

Mountaineers Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around APP -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APP)

CLT By 1-7 points

0.1%

CLT By 8-14 points

0.0%

APP By 1-7 points

1.1%

APP By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
54
CHARLOTTE
84
APP STATE
Simulated Score
68
CHARLOTTE
72
APP STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 CLT @ APP 63 - 65
Dec 2, 2022 APP @ CLT 62 - 71
Nov 18, 2021 CLT @ APP 67 - 66
Dec 11, 2020 APP @ CLT 61 - 57
Nov 21, 2019 CLT @ APP 55 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +77.7% more
App State: 6.5 vs Charlotte: 3.6
Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
App State: 44.3% vs Charlotte: 42.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.8%
App State: 66.1% vs Charlotte: 64.3%
Blocks (L5) +21.5% more
Charlotte: 4.1 vs App State: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 54.0 63
APP Score 84.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 34.3 40.0 / 32.0
Assists 12.1 / 11.6 10.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.1 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 42.1 47.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 64.3 65.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 37.2 31.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.5 / 3.6 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 10.7 9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
APP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
APP Advantage
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
APP
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
APP
CLT
APP
CLT
ML
62% 20-12
62% 21-13
59% 19-13
67% 22-11
ATS
59% 19-13
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
67% 22-11
TTL
69% 22-10
65% 22-12
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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