AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
TRAILBLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Utah Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)
NOB By 1-7 points
0.0%
NOB By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTU By 1-7 points
0.1%
UTU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Nobel
53
NOBEL
Utah Tech
91
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
Nobel
68
NOBEL
Utah Tech
82
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trailblazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trailblazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trailblazers (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Trailblazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
NOB @ UTU
48 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+65.4% more
Utah Tech: 9.0
vs
Nobel: 5.4
Blocks (L5)
+46.6% more
Utah Tech: 2.4
vs
Nobel: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+21.7% more
Utah Tech: 33.8
vs
Nobel: 27.7
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Utah Tech: 10.6
vs
Nobel: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NOB Score
53.0
48
UTU Score
91.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 27.0
33.0 / 18.0
Assists
10.6 / 8.7
16.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.4 / 1.6
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 35.9
59.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 73.7
78.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 27.7
42.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.0 / 5.4
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 18.6
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NOB
--
UTU
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NOB
--
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NOB
--
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
NOB
UTU
NOB
ML
68%
23-11
100%
6-0
62%
21-13
100%
6-0
ATS
65%
22-12
100%
6-0
62%
21-13
100%
6-0
TTL
65%
22-12
67%
4-2
100%
34-0
100%
6-0