HOWARD PAYNE
YELLOW JACKETSHWPU
0-0 | Road
75
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
2-4 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
YELLOW JACKETS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
HWPU By 1-7 points
0.0%
HWPU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AMCC By 1-7 points
0.0%
AMCC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Howard Payne
44
HOWARD PAYNE
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
97
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
Howard Payne
47
HOWARD PAYNE
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
98
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
HWPU @ AMCC
75 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.6% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 13.0
vs
Howard Payne: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+27.1% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 32.7
vs
Howard Payne: 25.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 37.7%
vs
Howard Payne: 33.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+39.0% more
Howard Payne: 20.7
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HWPU Score
44.0
75
AMCC Score
97.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.1 / 24.9
47.0 / 28.0
Assists
13.0 / 10.0
27.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.2
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
37.7 / 33.1
69.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
65.7 / 70.0
79.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 25.8
46.0 / 22.0
Steals
9.5 / 14.6
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 20.7
20.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HWPU
--
AMCC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HWPU
--
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HWPU
--
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
HWPU
AMCC
HWPU
ML
70%
21-9
100%
2-0
67%
18-9
100%
2-0
ATS
67%
20-10
100%
2-0
67%
18-9
100%
2-0
TTL
60%
18-12
100%
2-0
100%
27-0
100%
2-0
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