Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Skyhawks @ Panthers UTM @ PV

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

4-1  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 5:00 PM ET
Pensacola Bay Center
View Odds Details →

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PANTHERSPV

2-4  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
SKYHAWKS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
SkyhawksUTM (-3.5) 0 PanthersPV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

13.6%

Panthers Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PV -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)

UTM By 1-7 points

9.3%

UTM By 8-14 points

2.7%

PV By 1-7 points

21.6%

PV By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
70
UT MARTIN
81
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
71
UT MARTIN
78
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 UTM @ PV 69 - 68
Nov 19, 2023 UTM @ PV 66 - 78
Nov 20, 2022 PV @ UTM 79 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
Prairie View A&M: 73.7% vs UT Martin: 70.6%
Turnovers (L5) +40.6% more
UT Martin: 19.7 vs Prairie View A&M: 11.7
Assists (L5) +33.2% more
UT Martin: 17.2 vs Prairie View A&M: 11.5
Blocks (L5) +23.2% more
UT Martin: 4.7 vs Prairie View A&M: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTM Score 70.0 69
PV Score 81.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 39.0 25.0 / 22.0
Assists 11.5 / 17.2 6.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.7 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 47.7 36.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 70.6 77.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 39.7 34.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.4 / 8.3 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 19.7 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
PV
19-18-0 (51.3%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTM
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
PV Advantage
22-10-0 (68.8%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
UTM
PV
UTM
ML
59% 20-14
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
69% 20-9
ATS
56% 19-15
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
69% 20-9
TTL
50% 17-17
44% 14-18
100% 31-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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