Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mean Green @ Broncos UNT @ SCU

NORTH TEXAS

MEAN GREENUNT

8-3  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 9:00 PM ET
Kaiser Permanente Arena
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

8-3  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
MEAN GREEN
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
MEAN GREEN --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Santa Clara)
Mean GreenUNT (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mean Green Cover

0.0%

Broncos Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)

UNT By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNT By 8-14 points

0.0%

SCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SCU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
NORTH TEXAS
101
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
68
NORTH TEXAS
72
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 UNT @ SCU 60 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +34.9% more
Santa Clara: 17.3 vs North Texas: 12.8
Steals (L5) +28.1% more
Santa Clara: 9.0 vs North Texas: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
Santa Clara: 73.2% vs North Texas: 67.3%
Blocks (L5) +36.4% more
North Texas: 4.4 vs Santa Clara: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNT Score 57.0 60
SCU Score 101.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 30.6 28.0 / 8.0
Assists 17.3 / 12.8 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.8 / 4.4 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 42.7 43.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 67.3 62.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 34.0 / 32.4 32.0 / 27.0
Steals 9.0 / 7.0 5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 14.1 21.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNT
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNT Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
SCU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.2
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
UNT
SCU
UNT
ML
44% 15-19
70% 23-10
73% 22-8
59% 19-13
ATS
53% 18-16
52% 17-16
74% 23-8
59% 19-13
TTL
47% 16-18
67% 22-11
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 17 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 29 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 7 hours, 31 minutes ago
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
yahoo 20 hours, 33 minutes ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago