AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
EAGLES
0%
ROYALS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Winthrop)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)
QUC By 1-7 points
4.8%
QUC By 8-14 points
1.1%
WIN By 1-7 points
15.3%
WIN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
65
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Winthrop
80
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
Queens University
73
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Winthrop
78
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
QUC @ WIN
74 - 81
Dec 3, 2024
WIN @ QUC
86 - 78
Dec 5, 2023
QUC @ WIN
82 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+23.4% more
Winthrop: 38.0
vs
Queens University: 30.8
Steals (L5)
+9.3% more
Winthrop: 6.4
vs
Queens University: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+35.6% more
Queens University: 5.1
vs
Winthrop: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Queens University: 68.8%
vs
Winthrop: 60.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
65.0
74
WIN Score
80.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 39.4
32.0 / 20.0
Assists
14.8 / 14.9
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.1
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 48.7
39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
60.0 / 68.8
81.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 30.8
39.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.8
11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 12.3
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
WIN
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
Advantage
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
WIN
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
QUC
WIN
QUC
ML
70%
23-10
71%
25-10
79%
26-7
71%
24-10
ATS
79%
26-7
86%
30-5
79%
26-7
71%
24-10
TTL
58%
19-14
47%
16-18-1
100%
33-0
100%
34-0