THOMAS (ME)
TERRIERSTHOMA
0-0 | Road
48
STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
1-0 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
SKYHAWKS
0%
TERRIERS
--
SKYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (Stonehill)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STO -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)
THOMA By 1-7 points
0.0%
THOMA By 8-14 points
0.0%
STO By 1-7 points
0.0%
STO By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Thomas (ME)
36
THOMAS (ME)
Stonehill
89
STONEHILL
Simulated Score
Thomas (ME)
58
THOMAS (ME)
Stonehill
92
STONEHILL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Skyhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Skyhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
THOMA @ STO
48 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+89.1% more
Stonehill: 1.9
vs
Thomas (ME): 1.0
Steals (L5)
+44.8% more
Stonehill: 5.9
vs
Thomas (ME): 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Stonehill: 34.5
vs
Thomas (ME): 31.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Stonehill: 42.2%
vs
Thomas (ME): 34.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
THOMA Score
36.0
48
STO Score
89.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 30.5
36.0 / 28.0
Assists
12.2 / 13.4
21.0 / 7.0
Blocks
1.9 / 1.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 34.9
56.0 / 24.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 72.5
63.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 31.7
56.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.9 / 4.0
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 15.5
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
THOMA
--
STO
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
THOMA
--
STO
Advantage
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
THOMA
--
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STO
THOMA
STO
THOMA
ML
45%
15-18
100%
1-0
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
ATS
39%
13-20
100%
1-0
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
TTL
55%
18-15
0%
0-1
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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