Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Flying Fleet @ Bulldogs ERSK @ CIT

ERSKINE

FLYING FLEETERSK

0-0  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
McAlister Field House
View Odds Details →

THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

1-0  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
FLYING FLEET
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
FLYING FLEET --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
THE CITADEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (The Citadel)
Flying FleetERSK (-3.5) 0 BulldogsCIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flying Fleet Cover

11.5%

Bulldogs Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIT -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIT)

ERSK By 1-7 points

8.0%

ERSK By 8-14 points

2.2%

CIT By 1-7 points

20.1%

CIT By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
85
ERSKINE
97
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
60
ERSKINE
85
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+157.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o157.5 Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 ERSK @ CIT 61 - 105
Nov 7, 2024 ERSK @ CIT 56 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +42.5% more
The Citadel: 10.2 vs Erskine: 7.2
Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
The Citadel: 38.4% vs Erskine: 34.1%
Turnovers (L5) +41.2% more
Erskine: 20.2 vs The Citadel: 11.9
Blocks (L5) +37.8% more
Erskine: 1.8 vs The Citadel: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ERSK Score 85.0 61
CIT Score 97.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.0 / 24.4 36.0 / 30.0
Assists 10.2 / 7.2 24.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.1 / 1.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.4 / 34.1 46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 61.4 / 68.9 86.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 31.5 50.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.7 / 6.3 12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 20.2 7.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ERSK
--
CIT Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ERSK
--
CIT Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ERSK
--
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
ERSK
CIT
ERSK
ML
59% 19-13
100% 2-0
62% 20-12
100% 2-0
ATS
62% 20-12
100% 2-0
64% 21-12
100% 2-0
TTL
53% 17-15
100% 2-0
100% 33-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 13 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days, 1 hour ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 13 hours ago
David Stearns Opens Up on Mets' 2026 Failures, Offseason Plans a…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago