CINCINNATI CLERMONT
COUGARSCNCL
0-0 | Road
69
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
1-0 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
NORSE
0%
COUGARS
--
NORSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Northern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NKU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NKU)
CNCL By 1-7 points
0.0%
CNCL By 8-14 points
0.0%
NKU By 1-7 points
0.5%
NKU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati Clermont
55
CINCINNATI CLERMONT
Northern Kentucky
88
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Cincinnati Clermont
48
CINCINNATI CLERMONT
Northern Kentucky
95
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Norse
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Norse
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Norse (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
CNCL @ NKU
69 - 126
Nov 12, 2022
CNCL @ NKU
49 - 89
Nov 5, 2019
CNCL @ NKU
55 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+165.0% more
Northern Kentucky: 2.7
vs
Cincinnati Clermont: 1.0
Rebounding (L5)
+27.4% more
Northern Kentucky: 34.1
vs
Cincinnati Clermont: 26.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+25.3%
Northern Kentucky: 73.8%
vs
Cincinnati Clermont: 48.6%
Assists (L5)
+16.2% more
Northern Kentucky: 14.6
vs
Cincinnati Clermont: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CNCL Score
55.0
69
NKU Score
88.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 31.0
43.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.6 / 12.6
26.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.7 / 1.0
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 34.6
62.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 48.6
56.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 26.8
57.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.1
15.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 23.2
18.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CNCL
--
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CNCL
--
NKU
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CNCL
--
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NKU
CNCL
NKU
CNCL
ML
53%
18-16
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
ATS
56%
19-15
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
TTL
68%
23-11
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
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