Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trojans @ Seahawks MO @ UNCW

MOUNT OLIVE

TROJANSMO

0-0  |  Road

77
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Trask Coliseum
View Odds Details →

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

1-0  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
TROJANS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
TROJANS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
TrojansMO (-3.5) 0 SeahawksUNCW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trojans Cover

0.5%

Seahawks Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

MO By 1-7 points

0.4%

MO By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNCW By 1-7 points

2.7%

UNCW By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
MOUNT OLIVE
93
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
56
MOUNT OLIVE
88
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 MO @ UNCW 77 - 106
Nov 4, 2024 MO @ UNCW 91 - 143
Nov 6, 2023 MO @ UNCW 66 - 105
Nov 21, 2022 MO @ UNCW 47 - 94
Dec 15, 2021 MO @ UNCW 55 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.1% more
UNC Wilmington: 3.5 vs Mount Olive: 2.2
Assists (L5) +29.1% more
UNC Wilmington: 15.1 vs Mount Olive: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5) +16.3%
UNC Wilmington: 84.5% vs Mount Olive: 68.2%
Rebounding (L5) +9.9% more
UNC Wilmington: 38.1 vs Mount Olive: 34.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MO Score 67.0 77
UNCW Score 93.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.0 / 26.3 40.0 / 26.0
Assists 15.1 / 11.7 17.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.2 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 35.6 52.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 84.5 / 68.2 62.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 34.7 53.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.8 / 5.6 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 14.7 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MO
--
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MO
--
UNCW Advantage
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MO
--
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
MO
UNCW
MO
ML
64% 21-12
100% 1-0
52% 17-16
100% 1-0
ATS
58% 19-14
100% 1-0
52% 17-16
100% 1-0
TTL
61% 20-13
100% 1-0
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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