AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
FLAMES
0%
KNIGHTS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
KCU By 1-7 points
3.3%
KCU By 8-14 points
0.6%
LIB By 1-7 points
12.2%
LIB By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Kentucky Christian
74
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
Liberty
91
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Kentucky Christian
46
KENTUCKY CHRISTIAN
Liberty
93
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+157.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
KCU @ LIB
57 - 98
Nov 29, 2019
KCU @ LIB
42 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+276.0% more
Liberty: 3.7
vs
Kentucky Christian: 0.9
Assists (L5)
+34.1% more
Liberty: 16.8
vs
Kentucky Christian: 12.6
Rebounding (L5)
+16.8% more
Liberty: 29.0
vs
Kentucky Christian: 24.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
Liberty: 39.7%
vs
Kentucky Christian: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KCU Score
74.0
57
LIB Score
91.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 30.9
48.0 / 39.0
Assists
16.8 / 12.6
24.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.7 / 0.9
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 39.0
61.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
63.1 / 79.8
55.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
29.0 / 24.8
46.0 / 23.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.6
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 15.1
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KCU
--
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KCU
--
LIB
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KCU
--
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
KCU
LIB
KCU
ML
50%
17-17
100%
4-0
53%
18-16
100%
4-0
ATS
62%
21-13
100%
4-0
53%
18-16
100%
4-0
TTL
41%
14-20
25%
1-3
100%
34-0
100%
4-0