Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Yellow Jackets @ Bearkats LETU @ SHSU

LETOURNEAU

YELLOW JACKETSLETU

0-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:30 PM ET
Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum
View Odds Details →

SAM HOUSTON

BEARKATSSHSU

1-0  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
📊
BEARKATS
0%
YELLOW JACKETS --
BEARKATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Sam Houston)
Yellow JacketsLETU (-3.5) 0 BearkatsSHSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yellow Jackets Cover

2.3%

Bearkats Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHSU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)

LETU By 1-7 points

1.7%

LETU By 8-14 points

0.3%

SHSU By 1-7 points

8.0%

SHSU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
74
LETOURNEAU
94
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
52
LETOURNEAU
88
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearkats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearkats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearkats (+36.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Bearkats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 LETU @ SHSU 59 - 95
Nov 14, 2022 LETU @ SHSU 48 - 84
Nov 10, 2021 LETU @ SHSU 54 - 97
Dec 10, 2020 LETU @ SHSU 65 - 107
Nov 20, 2019 LETU @ SHSU 58 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +244.3% more
Sam Houston: 3.7 vs LeTourneau: 1.1
Rebounding (L5) +28.7% more
Sam Houston: 31.8 vs LeTourneau: 24.7
Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Sam Houston: 45.2% vs LeTourneau: 39.4%
Steals (L5) +42.1% more
LeTourneau: 8.8 vs Sam Houston: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LETU Score 74.0 59
SHSU Score 94.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 36.1 22.0 / 24.0
Assists 11.4 / 11.9 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.1 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 39.4 45.0 / 24.0
Free Throw % 76.5 / 76.1 84.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 24.7 59.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.1 / 8.8 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 17.0 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LETU
--
SHSU Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LETU
--
SHSU Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LETU
--
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
LETU
SHSU
LETU
ML
55% 18-15
100% 1-0
74% 23-8
100% 1-0
ATS
64% 21-12
100% 1-0
74% 23-8
100% 1-0
TTL
48% 16-17
100% 1-0
100% 31-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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