FISK
BULLDOGSFISK
0-0 | Road
50
TENNESSEE STATE
TIGERSTNST
1-0 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
TIGERS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-69.0
TENNESSEE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +69.0 points (Tennessee State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TNST -69.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TNST)
FISK By 1-7 points
0.0%
FISK By 8-14 points
0.0%
TNST By 1-7 points
0.0%
TNST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fisk
40
FISK
Tennessee State
109
TENNESSEE STATE
Simulated Score
Fisk
58
FISK
Tennessee State
92
TENNESSEE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -69.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
FISK @ TNST
50 - 101
Nov 4, 2024
FISK @ TNST
66 - 96
Nov 6, 2023
FISK @ TNST
61 - 76
Nov 7, 2022
FISK @ TNST
75 - 85
Nov 16, 2021
FISK @ TNST
56 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+100.5% more
Tennessee State: 3.9
vs
Fisk: 1.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Tennessee State: 46.7%
vs
Fisk: 37.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
Tennessee State: 71.7%
vs
Fisk: 64.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Tennessee State: 34.3%
vs
Fisk: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FISK Score
40.0
50
TNST Score
109.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 27.3
30.0 / 21.0
Assists
11.2 / 13.5
22.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.9 / 1.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 37.1
51.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 64.4
70.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 33.3
63.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.4 / 7.6
14.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 16.5
21.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FISK
--
TNST
Advantage
23-10-0
(69.7%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FISK
--
TNST
Advantage
18-11-1
(62.1%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
FISK
--
TNST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNST
FISK
TNST
FISK
ML
52%
16-15
100%
2-0
63%
17-10
100%
2-0
ATS
68%
21-10
100%
2-0
64%
18-10
100%
2-0
TTL
52%
16-15
100%
2-0
100%
28-0
100%
2-0
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