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COLORADO COLLEGE

TIGERSCOLC

0-0  |  Road

57
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:30 PM ET
Bank of Colorado Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

1-0  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
TIGERS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
NORTHERN COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Northern Colorado)
TigersCOLC (-3.5) 0 BearsUNCO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

0.0%

Bears Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCO -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCO)

COLC By 1-7 points

0.0%

COLC By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNCO By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNCO By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
64
COLORADO COLLEGE
105
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
51
COLORADO COLLEGE
92
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (+24.5) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 COLC @ UNCO 57 - 91
Nov 4, 2024 COLC @ UNCO 55 - 75
Nov 6, 2023 COLC @ UNCO 58 - 87
Nov 15, 2021 COLC @ UNCO 53 - 93
Nov 12, 2019 COLC @ UNCO 38 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.4% more
Northern Colorado: 12.6 vs Colorado College: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +20.0%
Northern Colorado: 45.4% vs Colorado College: 25.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +14.2%
Northern Colorado: 49.2% vs Colorado College: 35.0%
Rebounding (L5) +11.2% more
Northern Colorado: 34.7 vs Colorado College: 31.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLC Score 64.0 57
UNCO Score 105.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 45.4 / 25.3 37.0 / 31.0
Assists 12.6 / 9.7 26.0 / 5.0
Blocks 1.5 / 2.5 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 35.0 52.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 71.7 / 65.0 70.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 31.2 48.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.9 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 15.0 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLC
--
UNCO Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLC
--
UNCO Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COLC
--
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
COLC
UNCO
COLC
ML
50% 16-16
100% 1-0
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
ATS
53% 17-15
100% 1-0
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
TTL
50% 16-16
0% 0-1
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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