Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Matadors NOB @ CSUN

NOBEL

KNIGHTSNOB

0-0  |  Road

58
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 10:00 PM ET
Premier America Credit Union Arena
View Odds Details →

CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE

MATADORSCSUN

1-0  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
31%
📊
MATADORS
69%
KNIGHTS --
MATADORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 17%
Under 0 83%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Cal State Northridge)
KnightsNOB (-3.5) 0 MatadorsCSUN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

0.0%

Matadors Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUN -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUN)

NOB By 1-7 points

0.0%

NOB By 8-14 points

0.0%

CSUN By 1-7 points

0.0%

CSUN By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
NOBEL
112
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Simulated Score
58
NOBEL
85
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Matadors Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim Matadors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Matadors (+37.5) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
A
Sim Matadors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 NOB @ CSUN 58 - 99
Nov 13, 2024 NOB @ CSUN 50 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +67.1% more
Cal State Northridge: 12.8 vs Nobel: 7.7
Blocks (L5) +57.0% more
Cal State Northridge: 1.6 vs Nobel: 1.0
Rebounding (L5) +53.4% more
Cal State Northridge: 37.3 vs Nobel: 24.3
Field Goal % (L5) +13.5%
Cal State Northridge: 46.2% vs Nobel: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NOB Score 69.0 58
CSUN Score 112.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 25.0 38.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.8 / 7.7 20.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.6 / 1.0 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 32.7 42.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 70.7 71.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 24.3 60.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.7 / 11.0 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 15.7 15.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NOB
--
CSUN Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NOB
--
CSUN Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NOB
--
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUN
NOB
CSUN
NOB
ML
58% 19-14
100% 6-0
67% 22-11
100% 6-0
ATS
58% 19-14
100% 6-0
67% 22-11
100% 6-0
TTL
58% 19-14
67% 4-2
100% 33-0
100% 6-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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