CALDWELL
COUGARSCALDW
0-0 | Road
68
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
1-0 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
HAWKS
0%
COUGARS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Monmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MONM -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)
CALDW By 1-7 points
2.7%
CALDW By 8-14 points
0.5%
MONM By 1-7 points
10.7%
MONM By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Caldwell
78
CALDWELL
Monmouth
96
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Caldwell
57
CALDWELL
Monmouth
82
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 4, 2025
CALDW @ MONM
68 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+159.7% more
Monmouth: 6.1
vs
Caldwell: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+37.4% more
Monmouth: 14.2
vs
Caldwell: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+37.0% more
Monmouth: 6.4
vs
Caldwell: 4.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Monmouth: 37.6%
vs
Caldwell: 30.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CALDW Score
78.0
68
MONM Score
96.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 30.3
39.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.2 / 10.3
19.0 / 10.0
Blocks
6.1 / 2.3
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 35.0
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 71.3
65.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 35.7
53.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.7
13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
7.8 / 18.0
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CALDW
--
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CALDW
--
MONM
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CALDW
--
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
CALDW
MONM
CALDW
ML
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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