OCCIDENTAL
TIGERSOXY
0-0 | Road
59
SAN DIEGO
TOREROSUSD
1-0 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
TOREROS
0%
TIGERS
--
TOREROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (San Diego)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USD -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USD)
OXY By 1-7 points
0.0%
OXY By 8-14 points
0.0%
USD By 1-7 points
0.2%
USD By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Occidental
58
OCCIDENTAL
San Diego
94
SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Occidental
58
OCCIDENTAL
San Diego
92
SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Toreros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Toreros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Toreros (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Toreros (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 4, 2025
OXY @ USD
59 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+207.0% more
San Diego: 3.1
vs
Occidental: 1.0
Steals (L5)
+99.3% more
San Diego: 8.8
vs
Occidental: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+11.9% more
San Diego: 13.4
vs
Occidental: 12.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
San Diego: 42.7%
vs
Occidental: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OXY Score
58.0
59
USD Score
94.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 28.6
46.0 / 15.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.0
23.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 1.0
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 33.6
51.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 72.6
60.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 30.1
45.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.8 / 4.4
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 16.8
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OXY
--
USD
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OXY
--
USD
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OXY
--
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USD
OXY
USD
OXY
ML
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
ATS
55%
18-15
100%
1-0
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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