HUMBOLDT STATE
LUMBERJACKSHMBLDTST
0-0 | Road
53
SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
1-0 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
LUMBERJACKS
50%
BRONCOS
50%
LUMBERJACKS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Santa Clara)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)
HMBLDTST By 1-7 points
0.0%
HMBLDTST By 8-14 points
0.0%
SCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SCU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Humboldt State
63
HUMBOLDT STATE
Santa Clara
108
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
Humboldt State
64
HUMBOLDT STATE
Santa Clara
82
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
171
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 4, 2025
HMBLDTST @ SCU
53 - 83
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HMBLDTST Score
63.0
53
SCU Score
108.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.1 / 0.0
28.0 / 26.0
Assists
21.5 / 0.0
22.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.2 / 0.0
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 0.0
47.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 0.0
43.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 0.0
47.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.6 / 0.0
14.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 0.0
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HMBLDTST
--
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HMBLDTST
--
SCU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HMBLDTST
--
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
HMBLDTST
SCU
HMBLDTST
ML
44%
15-19
--
0-0
73%
22-8
--
0-0
ATS
53%
18-16
--
0-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
TTL
47%
16-18
--
0-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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