SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
KNIGHTSSVA
0-0 | Road
56
RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
1-0 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
SPIDERS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
SPIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Richmond)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICH -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)
SVA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SVA By 8-14 points
0.0%
RICH By 1-7 points
0.0%
RICH By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Virginia
47
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
Richmond
91
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
Southern Virginia
47
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
Richmond
88
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spiders (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Spiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
SVA @ RICH
56 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.6% more
Richmond: 12.3
vs
Southern Virginia: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.5%
Richmond: 83.1%
vs
Southern Virginia: 65.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.4%
Richmond: 35.2%
vs
Southern Virginia: 20.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Richmond: 41.1%
vs
Southern Virginia: 34.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SVA Score
47.0
56
RICH Score
91.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 20.8
21.0 / 21.0
Assists
12.3 / 9.8
18.0 / 5.0
Blocks
1.4 / 2.0
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 34.7
43.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
83.1 / 65.5
77.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 30.6
47.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.8 / 6.4
13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 16.4
6.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SVA
--
RICH
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SVA
--
RICH
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SVA
--
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
SVA
RICH
SVA
ML
53%
17-15
100%
2-0
56%
18-14
100%
2-0
ATS
44%
14-18
100%
2-0
56%
18-14
100%
2-0
TTL
56%
18-14
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0
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