Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Phoenix BELMONTAB @ ELON

BELMONT ABBEY

CRUSADERSBELMONTAB

0-0  |  Road

51
FINAL
Wed, Nov 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Schar Center
View Odds Details →

ELON

PHOENIXELON

1-0  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
📊
PHOENIX
0%
CRUSADERS --
PHOENIX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
ELON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Elon)
CrusadersBELMONTAB (-3.5) 0 PhoenixELON (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

0.0%

Phoenix Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ELON -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ELON)

BELMONTAB By 1-7 points

0.0%

BELMONTAB By 8-14 points

0.0%

ELON By 1-7 points

0.0%

ELON By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
BELMONT ABBEY
102
ELON
Simulated Score
60
BELMONT ABBEY
78
ELON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Phoenix Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Phoenix Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Phoenix (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Phoenix (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 5, 2025 BELMONTAB @ ELON 51 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +101.7% more
Elon: 4.7 vs Belmont Abbey: 2.3
Rebounding (L5) +37.0% more
Elon: 35.2 vs Belmont Abbey: 25.7
Free Throw % (L5) +24.9%
Elon: 82.2% vs Belmont Abbey: 57.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Elon: 46.5% vs Belmont Abbey: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BELMONTAB Score 57.0 51
ELON Score 102.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 37.3 39.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.7 / 13.3 18.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.7 / 2.3 1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 43.0 49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 82.2 / 57.3 76.0 / 31.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 25.7 43.0 / 32.0
Steals 3.8 / 8.3 13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 15.3 6.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELMONTAB
--
ELON Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELMONTAB
--
ELON Advantage
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BELMONTAB
--
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ELON
BELMONTAB
ELON
BELMONTAB
ML
61% 19-12
100% 1-0
71% 22-9
100% 1-0
ATS
55% 17-14
100% 1-0
71% 22-9
100% 1-0
TTL
52% 16-15
0% 0-1
100% 31-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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