AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
SPARTANS
0%
ROYALS
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (Norfolk State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NORF -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)
RGNT By 1-7 points
0.0%
RGNT By 8-14 points
0.0%
NORF By 1-7 points
0.0%
NORF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Regent
54
REGENT
Norfolk State
107
NORFOLK STATE
Simulated Score
Regent
47
REGENT
Norfolk State
98
NORFOLK STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
RGNT @ NORF
55 - 119
Nov 23, 2021
RGNT @ NORF
20 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.5% more
Norfolk State: 2.9
vs
Regent: 1.8
Rebounding (L5)
+38.4% more
Norfolk State: 35.0
vs
Regent: 25.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+15.1%
Norfolk State: 48.2%
vs
Regent: 33.1%
Steals (L5)
+14.6% more
Norfolk State: 7.8
vs
Regent: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RGNT Score
54.0
55
NORF Score
107.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.5 / 24.2
39.0 / 31.0
Assists
12.3 / 11.0
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.9 / 1.8
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 33.1
58.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 65.2
73.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 25.3
47.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.8 / 6.8
19.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 18.4
7.0 / 28.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RGNT
--
NORF
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RGNT
--
NORF
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RGNT
--
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NORF
RGNT
NORF
RGNT
ML
67%
20-10
100%
2-0
71%
20-8
100%
2-0
ATS
63%
19-11
100%
2-0
72%
21-8
100%
2-0
TTL
60%
18-12
100%
2-0
100%
29-0
100%
2-0